With the end of the fiscal and calendar year upon us, sellside research rushes to put to print its latest forecasts about the coming year, and HSBC – which recently made headlines when it slashed its 2016 year-end forecast on 10-Year yields from 2.8% to 1.5% – is no exception.Here Are HSBC’s Top Risks For 2016.
Earlier today, the firm’s research team issued a report laying out the top 10 risks for 2016, which had a peculiar caveat suggesting some at the bank is not in a rush to get arrested…
… in which it laid out what it believes are the 2 “good” risks to the economy – a US capex recovery and a return to EM capital inflows – as well as the 6 “bad” risks such as policy paralysis, supply-led oil price increase, a UK vote for Brexit, political crises in Europe’s periphery, more frequent flash crashes, and an increase in China’s corporate defaults, as well as HSBC’s two “ugly” tail-risks: a US recession and Fed policy error.
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